Potential "Painted Lady" Program
More photos of Eurkea, California
https://photos.app.goo.gl/4jxzL8aRcxRaQbDTA
Economic Development in Eureka
https://www.eurekaca.gov/408/Economic-Development
Potential "Painted Lady" Program
More photos of Eurkea, California
https://photos.app.goo.gl/4jxzL8aRcxRaQbDTA
Economic Development in Eureka
https://www.eurekaca.gov/408/Economic-Development
In March 2021, Bloomberg New Energy Finance found that "renewables are the cheapest power option for 71% of global GDP and 85% of global power generation. It is now cheaper to build a new solar or wind farm to meet rising electricity demand or replace a retiring generator, than it is to build a new fossil fuel-fired power plant. ... On a cost basis, wind and solar is the best economic choice in markets where firm generation resources exist and demand is growing."[80]: 24
They further reported "the levelized cost of energy from lithium-ion battery storage systems is competitive with many peak-demand generators."[80]: 23 BNEF does not disclose the detailed methodology and LCOE calculation assumptions, however, apart from declaring it is "derived from selected public sources".[80]: 98 Costs of gas peakers are substantial, and include both the cost of fuel and external costs of its combustion. Costs of its combustion include emission of greenhouse gases carbon monoxide and dioxide, as well as nitrogen oxides (NOx), which damage the human respiratory system and contribute to acid rain.[81]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cost_of_electricity_by_source
These gentlemen are part of the Pantheon of Planners.
Thanks to Ben Morris for sending this photo.
https://rarehistoricalphotos.com/life-before-autocad-1950-1980/
https://www.re-thinkingthefuture.com/2017/08/02/architects-engineers-before-auto-cad-software/
From https://www.thebulwark.com/, an excellent site.
Slow Boring Matt Yglesias https://www.slowboring.com/ looks at county-level maps of population decline, which is a little like peering into a crystal ball:
He notes: “[T]he issue in the contemporary United States is that the average growth rate is very low. Fully 47% of counties lost population between July 2021 and July 2022.”
An interesting corollary to this fact touches on one of my hobby horses: housing.
One big problem with population decline is that it makes houses too cheap. I know, I know, I’m normally talking about how it’s bad when regulatory barriers make houses too expensive. But it’s also bad for houses to be too cheap.
Why? A concept I learned about years ago from urban economist Issi Romem and that I wish was in wider circulation is the idea of the market price of housing vs. the replacement cost of a house. The market price is obvious: if you put your house up for sale tomorrow, how much could you get for it? The replacement cost is what it would cost if a tornado demolished your house tomorrow and you had to rebuild it from scratch. . . .
In a scenario of population decline, though, the market value of a house falls below the replacement value of the structures. You can see this by looking at statistics, but it’s pretty easy to eyeball where it’s taking place because the signature is a neighborhood with more vacant lots or vacant buildings than ongoing construction projects. Huge swathes of Detroit are, infamously, like this. But it’s also true of Cleveland and St. Louis and Milwaukee and Baltimore and other cities. Abandoned or vacant buildings are a source of blight — negative amenity value to the neighborhood. And each city with a significant amount of vacant property has its own policy apparatus for dealing with it and its own local discourse about the merits of that apparatus and whether the problem should be handled some other way. In years of reading about this, though, I’ve never heard of a city that has a magic formula to deal with vacant lots and blight. What I have seen is the vacant building problem vanish in my own neighborhood in D.C. due to robust market demand for housing. I’ve also seen in Chicago that a city can be capacious enough to support a lot of construction activity in the West Loop, even while significant swathes of the South Side look a lot like Cleveland.
________________
The cost of housing in much of the USA is a major concern. In the high growth "hot areas" housing costs are too high.
One way for a person to get affordable housing is to move to one of the many counties where population growth and the cost of housing is relatively low. This works best for people who have a pension and people who can work from home.
You want a nice area with little congestion or traffic. A good location is in a low growth low cost area that also has a University or College, which means that there will be interesting things to do nearby.
The four counties or cities below area areas where I have lived recently, and show the average cost of a home from Zillow.com. The costs are not as high as California or New York, but still higher than the national average
Manatee County 445,000 Bradenton 384,526
Sarasota County 462,500 Sarasota City 454,834
Cook County 285,000
Lake County 294,000
Will County 290,000
The Counties and cities below are lower cost counties in Illinois. As you can see home prices are much lower.
Lasalle County 156,000
Peoria County 119,643
Fulton County 94,011
Macomb 91,161
Macomb is a nice rural community in western Illinois and home to Western Illinois University. As you can see, homes are affordable. One also wants to check crime rates.
Macomb
Some other affordable areas in Illinois.
References
https://www.redfin.com/county/476/FL/Manatee-County/housing-market
https://www.redfin.com/county/494/FL/Sarasota-County/housing-market
https://www.redfin.com/county/727/IL/Cook-County/housing-market
https://www.redfin.com/county/810/IL/Will-County/housing-market
There are many reasons for this pessimism. Part of it is the constant drum beat of "how terrible everything is." The political party that is out of power has an interest in telling everyone how bad things are. And 1/2 of the country believes it. And the party out of power changes every few years, so the negatives are from both sides.
Our environmental movement folks also believe that our country and the world are headed for environmental disaster, with global warming being a major concern. They also constantly tell us how close to doom we are.
And wars, patricularity the Russian Ukranian War, and challenges from North Korea, China, and the middle east cause constant worry.
Racial minorities are angry and demanding a better deal. And constantly telling people how bad things are.
______
Wow, in writing this discussion I have succeeded in making myself depressed. I guess I will change my vote.
_____
But on further reflection, I change back to optimism. I realize that the political party out of power will always be saying how bad things are now. Knowing that makes me tend to dismiss their complaints.
We have made tremendous strides in environmental improvements. Our rivers and streams were badly polluted fifty years ago, and are now much better becasue of the enormous amount of money and regulations that we accomplished. Our air quality is much better.
We are making great strides in green energy. Renewable energy continues to rise and will continue.
The world is becoming more affluent. More people are leading more affluent lives. Health care continues to improve.
We face rising threats from Russia and China. But nothing so bad as what we faced in World War II and during the cold war.
_____
Ok, I am optimist again. A pox apon the nattering naybobs of negativity ( A great line by Spiro Agnew.)
Will bad things happen? Of course they will. But the trend line is much more positive that what is pushed by our modern day Cassandras.
|
Readings in Urban Planning and Design This manuscript expands upon, and compliments, chapters in the book “Planning Connections – Human, Nat...